I love to see people offer predictions. It's like science. You know your stuff if your predictions are right. So let's just note the predictions being made here now prior to the election.
Dick Morris says it's a Romney landslide. Newt Gingrich also expects a Romney landslide. Fred Barnes thinks it's Romney. Karl Rove seems to think Romney will win comfortably. Peggy Noonan tells us Romney will win. Even Michael Barone is telling us Romney wins big.
All the betting markets I know of expect Obama to win. Nate Silver has Obama pretty comfortably ahead. The more right wing Real Clear Politics has a slight lead for Obama.
For my part, I think it's safe to say that Michigan is out of play, so I'm thinking I'll just vote for Jill Stein. If Michigan were in play I'd have a tough decision to make. Obama is functionally a dictator, killing whoever he wants without oversight. Muslims are the new blacks. They get killed and oppressed by this administration and so many people just couldn't care less. Even people I know that regard themselves as liberal are happy with Obama's due process free assassination program. Obama is imprisoning whistle blowers and all the while those that commit crimes that actually harm others go free, like the people that wrecked our economy in 2008 or super wealthy tax dodgers. He's a nightmare. But Romney is all that and more. More being he wants to implemented the failed economic policies of Spain, Ireland, Greece, Haiti, and all the African countries, which are quite good at making the super rich even more rich and they are an extreme hardship for the poor.
The bright side of a Romney win might be that liberals would care about civil liberties again. If Romney enacts his policies he'll probably slow our economy down and that will be hard for a lot of people. But on the plus side it would mean less greenhouse gases. Africans, which are subject to Republican economic policies, don't produce a lot of greenhouse gases. They also are starving though and the destruction done to their environment by corporations free of government regulation is a horror.
Another bright side of a Romney win is you can make the case that Obama really wants to pursue a right wing austerity route just as he's pursued right wing violence overseas. When Obama advocates cutting social services he doesn't have to deal with liberal voices objecting, whereas Romney would. You can make the case that Romney is less likely to succeed implementing a cruel austerity package and so Romney is actually better for the poor.
And they call this a choice. Like a lot of people I'll just be glad when it's over. I wasn't planning to watch election coverage tomorrow just because it's frustrating to watch this whole sham play out like voters are given a real choice. But I learned that Glenn Greenwald will be on all day with Al Jazeera. That should provide some interesting perspective.
Update: Krugman's "informed guess" is that Obama will win. George Will has a big win for Romney. Check their track records here.